Work in progress
160 Years of aggregate supply and demand in Switzerland, draft.
Were stock returns predictable before World War 1? A cross-country study, with Stefan Gerlach, draft.
What drives the FOMC’s dot plots?, with Stefan Gerlach, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2020, 140.
The term structure, leading indicators and recessions: evidence from Switzerland, 1974-2017, Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 156:2.
Plotting interest rates: The FOMC’s projections and the economy, with Stefan Gerlach, Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019, 60, 198-211.
UK shocks and Irish business cycles, 1922-1979, Economic History Review, 2019, 72(2), 618-640.
A quarterly Phillips Curve for Switzerland using interpolated data, 1963-2016, Economic Modelling, 2018, 70, 78-86.
The co-movement of the Irish, UK and US stock markets, 1869-1925, Essays in Economic and Business History, 2018, 36(1), 23-46.
70 years of personal disposable income and consumption in Ireland, Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, 2016-17, 42, 47-70.
Co-movements in stock market returns, Ireland and London, 1869-1929, Financial History Review, 2017, 24(2), 167-184.
Money, interest rates and prices in Ireland, 1933-2012, with Stefan Gerlach, Irish Economic and Social History, 2015, 42, 1-32.
A survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland, with Robert Kelly and Eoin O’Brien, Small Business Economics, 2015, 44, 671-683.
Money demand in Ireland, 1933-2012, with Stefan Gerlach, Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, 2013-14, 42, 1-17.
Exploring the steady-state relationship between credit and GDP for a small open economy – the case of Ireland, with Kieran McQuinn and Robert Kelly, The Economic and Social Review, Policy Papers, 2011, 42, 455-477.
Could a large scale asset purchase programme have mitigated the Great Depression?, with Garo Garabedian, Central Bank of Ireland, Research Technical Paper, Vol. 2018, No. 7.
Joining the dots: The FOMC and the future path of policy rates, with Stefan Gerlach, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 11618 and Central Bank of Ireland Research Technical Paper 08/RT/16, submitted. (See also VoxEU blog entry based on this paper.)