Work in progress
International co-movements of inflation, 1851-1913, with Stefan Gerlach, draft.
160 Years of aggregate supply and demand in Switzerland, draft.
What drives the FOMC’s dot plots?, with Stefan Gerlach, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2020, 140.
The term structure, leading indicators and recessions: evidence from Switzerland, 1974-2017, Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 156:2.
Plotting interest rates: The FOMC’s projections and the economy, with Stefan Gerlach, Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019, 60, 198-211.
UK shocks and Irish business cycles, 1922-1979, Economic History Review, 2019, 72(2), 618-640.
A quarterly Phillips Curve for Switzerland using interpolated data, 1963-2016, Economic Modelling, 2018, 70, 78-86.
The co-movement of the Irish, UK and US stock markets, 1869-1925, Essays in Economic and Business History, 2018, 36(1), 23-46.
70 years of personal disposable income and consumption in Ireland, Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, 2016-17, 42, 47-70.
Co-movements in stock market returns, Ireland and London, 1869-1929, Financial History Review, 2017, 24(2), 167-184.
Money, interest rates and prices in Ireland, 1933-2012, with Stefan Gerlach, Irish Economic and Social History, 2015, 42, 1-32.
A survival analysis of corporate liquidations in Ireland, with Robert Kelly and Eoin O’Brien, Small Business Economics, 2015, 44, 671-683.
Money demand in Ireland, 1933-2012, with Stefan Gerlach, Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, 2013-14, 42, 1-17.
Exploring the steady-state relationship between credit and GDP for a small open economy – the case of Ireland, with Kieran McQuinn and Robert Kelly, The Economic and Social Review, Policy Papers, 2011, 42, 455-477.
Could a large scale asset purchase programme have mitigated the Great Depression?, with Garo Garabedian, Central Bank of Ireland, Research Technical Paper, Vol. 2018, No. 7.
Joining the dots: The FOMC and the future path of policy rates, with Stefan Gerlach, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 11618 and Central Bank of Ireland Research Technical Paper 08/RT/16, submitted. (See also VoxEU blog entry based on this paper.)